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Daylight in the Philippines

The Philippine Economic Team conducted on 02 February 2011 its Year-end Briefing.  Below are the highlights:

 

  1. A Resilient and Fast-growing Economy

  • The Philippines, one of the few countries that avoided a recession in 2009, staged a strong recovery in 2010 as the economy grew 7.3% - its highest in more than 20 years;

  • Healthy economic growth is expected to be sustained in the medium term with better conditions in the global economy and economic outperformance in the Philippines’ key export markets.

  • The structure of the Philippine economy is similar to those of advanced economies, with consumption accounting for more than 70% of GDP.

  1. A Clear Political Commitment to Fiscal Sustainability

  • The administration has made fiscal sustainability the cornerstone of its effective governance agenda;

  • Intense focus has been placed on improving tax collection as evidenced by the removal of the Philippines from the OECD “grey list”, a recognition that it is now compliant with accepted tax standards;

  • Proactive debt management has reduced rollover risk and increased debt carrying capacity while minimizing foreign exchange risk and increasing self-sufficiency of funding.

  1. A Fortified External Position and a Sound Banking System

  • Over the last decade, the Philippines has transformed itself into a country with sustained structural current account surpluses and rapid reserve accumulation;

  • Gross international reserve expanded to a record US$62.4 billion at end-December 2010.   This large stockpile of international reserves provides a healthy buffer against external shocks – reserve holdings can cover close to 11 times the country’s short-term external debt on original maturity;

  • The Business Process Outsourcing (BPO), industry which is growing at an average of 20% annually, is one of the driving factors behind the improvement of net services trade balance annually.

  1. A More Stable Political and Institutional Environment

The uncontested outcome of the last elections was widely regarded as a positive development for the Philippines and could signal a structural change in political dynamics ushering in more stable political transitions.